İKİNCİ
ABD OPERASYONU SONRASI IRAK’IN EKONOMİK GÖRÜNÜMÜ VE ABD’NİN
IRAK’A İLİŞKİN EKONOMİK PLANLARI
Dr. Gamze Güngörmüş KONA
ABSTRACT
AN OVERVIEW OF IRAQI ECONOMY FOLLOWING THE SECOND U.S.
OPERATION AND FUTURE ECONOMIC SCENARIOS OF THE U.S. IN
REGARD TO IRAQ
The second
Iraqi operation has been the last attempt of the U.S. to
reorganize the Middle East region. However, following the
second operation, the region itself has faced various
serious problems. Currently, most of the strategists argue
about the probable poloitical stand of the U.S. after the
operation, and the probable outcomes of the mentioned U.S.
stand. As known in some circles, not only the political
targets but also Iraqi oil reserves and economic growth led
by the oil reserves also bear importance for the U.S.’ plans
in regard to Iraq. Furthermore, when the ‘oil reserves’
element is removed from U.S.-Iraq correlation, the result
makes no sense. Although it is a well known fact that oil
has been one of the most important economic driving force
behind this very disputable U.S. operation, to explain this
operation through a single driving force would not be
complete and right. On the current panorama appeared
following the U.S. operation in Iraq; it is clearly observed
that the goals of the operation do not cover the needs of
people. This article mainly concentrates on the most
probable economic conditions/features in Iraq after the U.S.
operation. The framework of this article is based upon the
evaluation of U.S.’ future scenarios on Iraq in terms of
economic point of view. For this reason, first of all; the
overall economic situation in Iraq, and the present Iraqi
economic wealth, except for oil, will be examined. Following
this informative determination; probable U.S. withdrawal
from Iraq and the probable economic results of the mentioned
probable U.S. withdrawal will be explained through seven
micro scenarios.
KEYWORDS
scenario, micro scenario, probability, economy, Iraq,
U.S.
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